Original-Research: THE NAGA GROUP AG - from NuWays AG
19.09.2024 / 09:00 CET/CEST
Dissemination of a Research, transmitted by EQS News - a service of EQS Group AG.
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Classification of NuWays AG to THE NAGA GROUP AG
Company Name: THE NAGA GROUP AG
ISIN: DE000A161NR7
Reason for the research: Update
Recommendation: BUY
from: 19.09.2024
Target price: EUR 1.20
Last rating change:
Analyst: Frederik Jarchow
Partnership with BVB to increase reach
Topic: NAGA recently entered into a sponsoring partnership with Borussia Dortmund for the current and upcoming Bundesliga season. In detail:
Having entered into this cooperation, NAGA is now one of the official partner of BVB. With that, NAGA received exclusive rights to use the team's BVB partner logo on multiple markets, and the rights to use club players' image in branding materials. Additionally, NAGA's brand will be present on the LED advertising boards at home matches on Borussia's stadium Signal Iduna Park. With that, NAGA intends to power-up its brand awareness in Germany, which is it most important core market and attract new target groups. As BVB is also playing Champions League, the cooperation should additionally increase brand awareness in other important global regions.
In our view, this is a sensible sponsoring partnership as BVB has not only a huge global fan community but is also enjoying high sympathy ratings from fans of other clubs. The price per year is expected to be rather moderate with below EUR 1m (eNuW) and should be already considered in the marketing budget for this and next year.
In a bigger picture, the cooperation with BVB is just another piece that is paving the way towards the vision for 2026 of USD 250m in sales and 40% EBITDA. While we consider this vision as rather optimistic, the past has already shown that an incremental positive change in the sentiment could have an enormous effect on the P&L of NAGA. The leverage of the joint Group could even scale this effect. Still, in our base case scenario we conservatively only anticipating EUR 90m in sales and an EBITDA of EUR 19m (22% EBITDA margin), leaving room for positive surprises. Looking into 2024, estimated 15.9m transactions on the back of a slowly revitalizing retail brokerage space should lift sales to EUR 71.8m, assuming an avg revenue per trade of EUR 5.0. Synergy effects and ongoing disciplined spending are expected to additionally drive EBITDA that we see at EUR 11.5m.
Overall, the revitalization of customer activity in the brokerage space, paired with cross-selling and synergy effects arising from the merger should fuel NAGAŽs growth. Details on the growth plan will be presented during our roundtable, today at 10am CEST.
BUY with an unchanged PT of EUR 1.20 based on DCF
You can download the research here: http://www.more-ir.de/d/30819.pdf For additional information visit our website: www.nuways-ag.com/research
Contact for questions:
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
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1991057 19.09.2024 CET/CEST
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