Original-Research: Netfonds AG - from NuWays AG
21.11.2024 / 09:00 CET/CEST
Dissemination of a Research, transmitted by EQS News - a service of EQS Group AG.
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Classification of NuWays AG to Netfonds AG
Company Name: Netfonds AG
ISIN: DE000A1MME74
Reason for the research: Update
Recommendation: Buy
from: 21.11.2024
Target price: EUR 76.00
Target price on sight of: 12 months
Last rating change:
Analyst: Frederik Jarchow
Q3 figures in line with est. // bond issuing announced; chg
Topic: Netfonds reported solid Q3 figures in line with our estimates on both, top- and bottom line. With that, the upper end of the guidance is in reach. Further, Netfonds announced a planned M&A transaction and a planned bond issuing. In detail:
Gross sales grew by 16% yoy to EUR 56.2m, in line with our estimate of EUR 56m. Main driver was the strong AuA and AuM development with new record levels of EUR 27.2bn (+14% YTD; 20% yoy) and EUR 3.7bn, both above our estimates of EUR 26.7bn and EUR 3.5bn (eNuW old). Consequently, we increased our estimates for FY24 of EUR 27.4bn AuA and EUR 4.0bn AuM.
EBITDA came in above estimates at EUR 1.9m (-5% qoq, 46% yoy vs eNuW: EUR 1.8m), mainly driven by the solid topline growth paired with stable OPEX compared to previous quarters, showing the strong operating leverage of the platform business.
Going forward, we see further sequential growth mainly on the back of the strong AuA growth that should become visible in top- and bottom-line with a slight delay but also driven by value accretive M&A transactions (i.e. MFK and Comfort Finance) as well as the launch of an own money market fund earlier this year with already above EUR 75m end of Q2. As a result, the confirmed guidance for FY24 of EUR 220-230m in gross sales and EUR 41.5-43m in net sales can hence be taken as granted.
Apart from that, Netfonds announced to have signed an LOI subject to the acquisition of another fund initiator. The potential target would add approximately EUR 100m in volume. The acquisition price is expected to be in the mid-single-digit millions. This acquisition is indicating once again that Netfonds is playing an active role in the market consolidation. In order to finance this and further potential transactions, Netfonds plan to issue an unsecured bond with a low- to mid-double-digit million volume.
Overall and on the back of 1) the strong operating performance, 2) Netfonds 360° finfire platform being the key mid- to long term growth and scalability driver and 3) further value accretive M&A transactions, we see Netfonds well on track to reach its mid-term target of EUR 59m net sales (vs eNuW: EUR 60m) and EUR 23m EBITDA (vs eNuW: EUR 21m) by FY26.
BUY with a new PT of EUR 76.00, based on DCF.
You can download the research here: http://www.more-ir.de/d/31399.pdf For additional information visit our website: www.nuways-ag.com/research
Contact for questions:
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
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2035179 21.11.2024 CET/CEST
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